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Alex Chen's sample Premium desk — win rate over time, CLV, timing, and category edge. Back to demo dashboard
Win rate
70.3%
64 settled picks
Edge score
82
From 64 synced markets with results
Edge score measures how well-calibrated your predictions are. 100 is perfect, 50 is random.
Average CLV
+5.2¢
Across 128 fills with closing prices
Performance
Win rate and CLV have drifted slightly positive over the last six months.
Closing line value
CLV compares your entry price to the final closing price for that side. Positive CLV means your Yes or No entry beat the line, which is often a cleaner edge signal than short-run win rate.
Average CLV
+5.2¢
Across 128 settled fills with a closing price snapshot.
Politics
+5.8¢
22 settled fills
Sports
+6.1¢
27 settled fills
Economics
+4.2¢
22 settled fills
Crypto
+4.2¢
9 settled fills
Timing
How far ahead of settlement you started trading in each market — early or late?
Odds
Win rate grouped by the price you paid on your last trade in each settled market.
Market themes
Filter category breakdowns and best / weakest market types. Rows are grouped using the same title and ticker heuristics as the Markets and Leaderboard theme tabs.
Categories
Where you traded most, and how each theme performed — including typical profit per contract and closing line value.
| Category | Attempts | Wins | Losses | Win rate | Avg profit (¢ / contract) | Avg CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 18 | 14 | 4 | 77.8% | 18¢ | +4.5¢ |
| Sports | 23 | 17 | 6 | 73.9% | 13¢ | +5.5¢ |
| Economics | 18 | 11 | 7 | 61.1% | 18¢ | +3.7¢ |
| Crypto | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 15¢ | +3.2¢ |
Leaders
Categories with at least three settled markets in this view.
Politics
12W · 4L · 16 settled
Sports
16W · 6L · 22 settled
Watch list
Lowest win rates among categories with at least three settled markets.
Crypto
5W · 4L · 9 settled
Economics
10W · 7L · 17 settled
Streaks
Wider bands cover a longer calendar span. Older on the left, newer on the right.
Based on 64 settled markets from your recent synced activity.